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Jonathan Friedland recentlywrote that it's possible the Tories won't win the next general election.

That happens to be a view I share, but one thought lingers at the back of my mind: much has been made of the Tory commitment to inheritance tax and what it represents concerning who the Tories really look out for. But what if, 6 weeks before the election, they suddenly abandon the pledge George Osborne made at last year's conference about raising the threshold limit to £1m?

They may get a lot of u-turn hassle, but it might just be enough to muddy the waters sufficiently for enough voters to peg their noses and vote Conservative.

Update: poll results like this, which show Labour only 6 percentage points behind the Tories, seems to me to make the above much more likely.

Tags — Politics